Last edited by Malabar
Wednesday, May 6, 2020 | History

2 edition of Reducing uncertainty found in the catalog.

Reducing uncertainty

Legal Risk Review Committee.

Reducing uncertainty

the way forward.

by Legal Risk Review Committee.

  • 118 Want to read
  • 5 Currently reading

Published by Legal Risk Review Committee in [London] .
Written in English


The Physical Object
Pagination1 v (various pagings)
ID Numbers
Open LibraryOL14473855M

The value of an additional experimental data point on uncertainty reduction is demonstrated by considering two different synthetic experimental data points: case a> at (35) o C, bar) where the uncertainty in the equilibrium prediction is higher and case b) at ( o C, bar) where the uncertainty is smaller as shown in Fig. 1 (b). 6 Risk and Uncertainty as a Research Ethics Challenge presented below, is contrary to what the sociologist Robert Merton called the Scientific Ethos1, or what the philosopher Gaston Bachelard ( []) called the Scientific Spirit. Indeed, we hold the view that good ethics is important for good science.

Using the Apollo mission experience as a guide, Wilson has estimated that at an overall uncertainty factor of 3 for the risk posed by exposure to HZE particles, the increased costs of compensating for that uncertainty by using excess shielding in the spacecraft for the Mars mission are about $10 billion; at an overall uncertainty factor of 6. Get this from a library! Reducing uncertainty: intelligence analysis and national security. [Thomas Fingar] -- This book provides a description of the role of intelligence analysis in the making of national security decisions in the U.S. government. The author covers how analysts do their job, how they are.

  Uncertainty, to Knight, was when you don’t know the probabilities. John Maynard Keynes used the example of a company considering an investment in a Author: Bill Conerly.   Here’s what the study entailed. One bank sought to reduce bankers’ uncertainty through specialization. Meaning, that the better a banker was in his or her silo, the less uncertainty he or she Author: Jeff Boss.


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Reducing uncertainty by Legal Risk Review Committee. Download PDF EPUB FB2

The US government spends billions of dollars every year to reduce uncertainty: to monitor and forecast everything from the weather to the Reducing uncertainty book of disease.

In other words, we spend a lot of money to anticipate problems, identify opportunities, and avoid by: Reducing Uncertainty book. Read 2 reviews from the world's largest community for readers. The US government spends billions of dollars every year to redu /5. Reducing Uncertainty: Intelligence Analysis and National Security | Thomas Fingar.

The US government spends billions of dollars every year to reduce uncertainty: to monitor and forecast everything from the weather to the spread of disease. In other words, we spend a lot of money to anticipate problems, identify opportunities, and avoid mistakes.

Reducing Uncertainty describes what Intelligence Community analysts do, how they do it, and how they are affected by the political context that shapes, uses, and sometimes abuses their output.

Reducing Uncertainty describes what Intelligence Community analysts do, how they do it, and how they are affected by the political context that shapes, uses, and sometimes abuses their output.

In particular, it looks at why IC analysts pay more attention to threats than to opportunities, and why they appear to focus more on warning about the possibility of "bad things" happening than on providing the input necessary.

Reducing Anxiety and Worry by Working from the Body Out. One of the most Reducing uncertainty book ways to cope with fear and uncertainty is to pay attention to body rhythms. In his book, Uncertainty. xiv ManagIng uncertaInty in more practical terms seemed overdue when this book was first commissioned.

By the time it was written the case was overwhelming. We wanted to use the research to explore three questions. First, how do business people define uncertainty. – because precise definitions lead to concrete Size: KB.

uncertainty reduction theory that people will seek to reduce uncertainty, one study found that when romantic partners feel above normal uncertainty about the relationship, participants view relationship talk as face threatening and thus avoid such talk, which, in turn increases uncertainty (Knobloch & Author: Mark V.

Redmond. The uncertainty reduction theory, also known as initial interaction theory, developed in by Charles Bergerand Richard Calabrese, is a communication theoryfrom the post-positivisttradition.

It is one of the only communication theories that specifically looks into the initial interaction between people prior to the actual communication process. The theory asserts the notion that, when interacting, people need information about the other party in order to reduce their uncertainty.

Dealing with uncertainty is an unavoidable part of daily life. Because we can’t see the future, we can never be certain about what exactly is going to happen day to day. Research has found that people vary in their ability to tolerate uncertainty. That is, some people are okay with having a lot of uncertainty in their lives, and other people File Size: KB.

Reducing Uncertainty describes what Intelligence Community analysts do, how they do it, and how they are affected by the political context that shapes, uses, and sometimes abuses their s: 2.

Reducing Uncertainty: Intelligence Analysis and National Security - Thomas Fingar - Google Books. The US government spends billions of dollars every year to reduce uncertainty: to monitor and forecast everything from the weather to the spread of disease.

In other words, we spend a lot of money to anticipate problems, identify opportunities, and avoid mistakes. Published By. The US government spends billions of dollars every year to reduce uncertainty: to monitor and forecast everything from the weather to the spread of disease.

In other words, we spend a lot of money to anticipate problems, identify opportunities, and avoid mistakes. Fingar uses Reducing Uncertainty as an opportunity to reflect on his experiences during this tumultuous time and present his observations of intelligence analysis as a whole.

Mercifully, this book is not another treatise on “how to fix the IC.” He tends more to enlighten the reader than to propose recommendations. Thomas Fingar. PAGES. Cite this book. Cover Images. Small px. Medium px. Med-Large px. Large px. { Cite book | first=Thomas | last=Fingar | title=Reducing Uncertainty: Intelligence Analysis and National Security | publisher=Stanford University Press | year= | isbn= | location=Stanford, CA | url=http.

The absolute uncertainty is the actual numerical uncertainty, the percentage uncertainty is the absolute uncertainty as a fraction of the value itself. Consider our previous example: Voltage = ± The quantity = V Absolute uncertainty = V (it has units) Percentage uncertainty = / = = % (no units as its a ratio).

Tips on Tolerating Uncertainty Related Articles This article features affiliate links towhere a small commission is paid to Psych Central if a book is purchased. Reducing Uncertainty: Intelligence Analysis and National Security - Ebook written by Thomas Fingar.

Read this book using Google Play Books app on your PC, android, iOS devices. Download for offline reading, highlight, bookmark or take notes while you read Reducing Uncertainty: Intelligence Analysis and National : Thomas Fingar.

In his book, Reducing Uncertainty, Fingar provides an accessible portrayal of the U.S. intelligence community, based on his long history of experiences in the field. Reducing Uncertainty tries to explain the roles and responsibilities of those within the intelligence sphere, with emphasis on the many changes that have occurred over time—particularly Post-Cold War, and then Post-9/   The author of "Reduced Uncertainty" was a veteran State/INR analyst who rose to the top ranks of the intelligence world.

He's a thoughtful interpreter (and critic) of the analytical methods and work product of the IC, and he understands the political environment in which the IC operates/5.

To reduce her uncertainty about her fiancé and to see if he is the "right one" for her, she types up an anonymous letter. In the letter, she asks Matt to meet at a certain place .The term reducing uncertainty is ubiquitous within the Climate Chance Science Program (CCSP) strategic ng uncertainties is the central theme of one of the five major CCSP goals and the foundation of one of the four core approaches to address these goals.Reducing Uncertainty should be required reading for all who produce, use, or think about intelligence." -- Lt.

Gen. Brent Scowcroft * National Security Advisor to Presidents Ford and George H.W. Bush * "This is a well-documented, well-written piece by a former high-ranking member of the intelligence community.